This calculator is arithmetic on a table, not a live mixer. Enter quantities from your own Build a Dino Defense 🦖 session. It will not click the shop.
Drop probability
Royal Egg hatch chance
Estimate the chance of seeing one Royal Egg portrait at least once. Type the percent printed on that portrait and how many hatches you will buy. Each hatch is treated as independent. The filmed panel priced one hatch at 79 on a hexagon icon, not in cash, and it did not show a pity counter.
Chance of at least one success = 1 − (1 − chance per attempt) raised to the number of attempts.
Independent-hatch model for the Royal Egg panel filmed on 27 September 2026. Printed percents: Ancient Protector 36.4, Air Wyvern 28.4, Electric Wyvern 20.5, Flame Wyvern 9.1, Galaxy Rex 5.7. The default 5.7 and 18 hatches illustrate Galaxy Rex, about 1 in 18. The panel showed no pity, luck, or duplicate rule. Change the percent to another portrait on that same panel. This does not read your inventory and it does not use Friend Boost or index DMG.
